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Last Updated: June 1, 2026
With the 2026 FIFA World Cup being hosted right here in Canada, as well as the US and Mexico, the final European qualifying spots are about to be decided. On Thursday, March 26, sixteen nations will compete in single-leg semi-finals across four paths (A, B, C, and D).
Format: Single-elimination. If tied after 90 minutes, games go to extra time and penalties.
Kick-off Times: All games at 2:45 PM ET (11:45 AM PT), except Türkiye vs. Romania at 12:00 PM ET (9:00 AM PT).
Path A
Italy vs. Northern Ireland
The Story: Italy faces massive pressure to avoid missing a third straight World Cup. Manager Gennaro Gattuso admitted the squad is feeling the nerves. Northern Ireland hasn’t scored against Italy since 1961, but Michael O’Neill is pushing his players to embrace the underdog role.
Market
Italy
Tie
N. Ireland
90 Mins (Moneyline)
-350
+450
+1000
To Advance
-800
—
+500
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
The Story: Playing in Cardiff, Wales aims for their first-ever win against Bosnia (0-2-2 record). Coach Craig Bellamy claims to have found “a lot of weaknesses” in the Bosnian side.
Market
Wales
Tie
Bosnia
90 Mins (Moneyline)
-118
+240
+350
To Advance
-250
—
+175
Path B
Ukraine vs. Sweden
The Story: Taking place in Valencia, Spain. Sweden is shorthanded with Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski out (injury), leaving the load to Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres. Ukraine’s Serhiy Rebrov is prioritizing physical peak performance.
Market
Ukraine
Tie
Sweden
90 Mins (Moneyline)
+180
+225
+155
To Advance
+100
—
-134
Poland vs. Albania
The Story: A frequent matchup in recent years. Poland has won 10 of their 15 all-time meetings, but Albania’s Sylvinho warns that his squad’s spirit makes them dangerous in a 90-minute window.
Market
Poland
Tie
Albania
90 Mins (Moneyline)
-143
+250
+475
To Advance
-334
—
+240
All odds were taken from bet365 at 3:30 p.m. EST on Tuesday, March 24.
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The Story: Tactical chess match. Romania’s 80-year-old boss Mircea Lucescu previously coached the Turkish national team and their top clubs (Galatasaray, Beşiktaş). Türkiye’s Vincenzo Montella says a 100% effort is the only way through.
Market
Türkiye
Tie
Romania
90 Mins (Moneyline)
-275
+400
+650
To Advance
-600
—
+400
Slovakia vs. Kosovo
The Story: A first-ever meeting between these two. Slovakia is battling injury concerns, while Kosovo enters on a five-game unbeaten streak under Franco Foda, dreaming of their first major tournament.
Market
Slovakia
Tie
Kosovo
90 Mins (Moneyline)
+110
+225
+270
To Advance
-188
—
+137
Path D
Denmark vs. North Macedonia
The Story: Denmark is looking to move past what coach Brian Riemer called “the fog of Scotland” after a rough qualifying end. North Macedonia enters with new leadership under manager Goce Sedloski.
Market
Denmark
Tie
N. Macedonia
90 Mins (Moneyline)
-334
+425
+1000
To Advance
-800
—
+500
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland
The Story: The Czechs have won three straight home games against Ireland. However, the Irish are high on confidence after a recent win over Portugal. Manager Heimir Hallgrímsson says his players hold “the future of Irish football in their hands.”
Market
Czechia
Tie
Rep. Ireland
90 Mins (Moneyline)
+100
+240
+280
To Advance
-200
—
+150
Sportsbook Features
Early Payout: On Moneyline bets, your wager wins instantly if your team takes a 2-goal lead at any point in the match.
Parlay Boost: Earn a percentage bonus on your total return when you combine three or more of these matches into a single parlay.
Would you like me to track the results of these matches on Thursday so we can look at the Final matchups?
Author:
Lucas Portela
Owner, BoldGambler • Avanhandava/SP
Oddsmaker, affiliate and content creator in the iGaming industry.
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