Discover 8 high-value Champions League longbets for the 2026/27 season, tailored for Canadian bettors with top picks on Barcelona and Mbappé.
Published:The 2026/27 Champions League is entering its third season with the 36-team league phase format. I looked at the schedule and the squads to find the best long-term betting angles for Canadian bettors. Here are my eight longbets for the tournament using standard American odds, with a big focus on Barcelona’s current form.
Barcelona to reach the final (+333)
Hansi Flick has Barcelona playing well again. They won their first four La Liga games and scored 17 goals. Bringing in Rodri from Manchester City gives them the midfield stability they needed to make Flick’s aggressive system work. At +333, I am taking them to make it to the final.
Lamine Yamal for most assists (+1000)
Lamine Yamal is only 19 years old but he is already a World Cup and European champion. Last season he had 16 goals and 11 assists in La Liga, plus 10 goal contributions in the Champions League. He plays on the wing in Flick’s offensive system and creates a lot of chances. Betting on him to lead the tournament in assists at +1000 is a solid pick.
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FC Porto to finish in the Top 8 (+400)
I really like Porto to get a direct spot in the round of 16. They have a deep roster with Diogo Costa, Victor Froholdt and Santiago Gimenez. The main reason I am betting on them is the schedule. They have tough games against Manchester City and Liverpool, but they host beatable teams like Slavia, Napoli and PSV at the Dragao. That gives them a clear path to the top eight.
Kylian Mbappé for top goalscorer (+187)
Mbappé won the Champions League Golden Boot last season with 15 goals in 11 games. He was also the top scorer at the World Cup. In this expanded format, teams can play up to 17 matches. That gives him plenty of chances to score against weaker opponents for Real Madrid. At +187, this is my safest individual bet.
Raphinha for top goalscorer (+1600)
Since Robert Lewandowski left, Hansi Flick moved Raphinha to a central striker role. He already leads La Liga with six goals. He was the joint-top scorer in the Champions League two seasons ago with 13 goals. Getting +1600 odds on him in this Barcelona setup is a great value play.
Top 8 Treble: Arsenal, Liverpool and Bayern Munich (+240)
I put together a parlay for three teams to finish in the top eight. Arsenal has the best defense in Europe right now. Liverpool has a very easy schedule under Andoni Iraola. Bayern Munich is always tough to beat at home. Combining these three teams pays +240 and feels like a safe route.
PSG to finish in the playoffs (+162)
Luis Enrique’s teams usually start slow. PSG finished in the playoff spots between 9th and 24th place in the last two seasons under this format. Key players like Vitinha and Joao Neves are also tired after the World Cup. Betting on them to finish in the playoff phase again at +162 makes a lot of sense.
Slovan Bratislava to finish bottom (+400)
Slovan Bratislava has a brutal schedule under their new manager Yaya Toure. They host Inter and Stuttgart and have to travel to play PSG and Porto. Two seasons ago they finished last with zero points and a minus 20 goal difference. They lack the squad depth for this level, so I am backing them to finish at the bottom at +400.
My Bets
- Barcelona to reach the final (+333) -> Put down $170 CAD, walking away with $736.10 CAD
- Lamine Yamal top assists (+1000) -> Put down $70 CAD, walking away with $770.00 CAD
- Porto top 8 finish (+400) -> Put down $150 CAD, walking away with $750.00 CAD
- Mbappé golden boot (+187) -> Put down $260 CAD, walking away with $746.20 CAD
- Raphinha golden boot (+1600) -> Put down $40 CAD, walking away with $680.00 CAD
- Top 8 treble: Arsenal, Liverpool, Bayern (+240) -> Put down $220 CAD, walking away with $748.00 CAD
- PSG in the playoffs (+162) -> Put down $290 CAD, walking away with $759.80 CAD
- Slovan Bratislava bottom of the table (+400) -> Put down $150 CAD, walking away with $750.00 CAD
Total stake: $1,350 CAD ($1k USD equivalent)
Max payout: $5,940.10 CAD
Author:
Lucas Portela
Owner, BoldGambler • Avanhandava/SP
Oddsmaker, affiliate and content creator in the iGaming industry.