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Last Updated: June 1, 2026
With the 2026 FIFA World Cup right around the corner—co-hosted here in the United States, Mexico, and Canada—the final spots for the European nations are being decided this week.
On Thursday, March 26, 16 teams face off in single-elimination semifinals. Win two in a row, and they’re booked for North America this summer.
Format: Single-leg knockout. If tied after 90 minutes, it goes to extra time and then a penalty shootout.
TV/Kick-off Times: * Main Slate: 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT
Early Game (Türkiye vs. Romania): 1:00 PM ET / 10:00 AM PT
📍 Path A
Italy vs. Northern Ireland
The Narrative: Italy is desperate. After missing two straight World Cups, the pressure on manager Gennaro Gattuso and his squad is “suffocating.” Meanwhile, Northern Ireland’s Michael O’Neill is playing the “nothing to lose” card.
Stat to Know: Italy hasn’t conceded a goal to Northern Ireland in seven straight meetings (dating back to 1961).
Market
Italy
Draw
N. Ireland
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
-350
+450
+1000
To Advance
-800
—
+500
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
The Narrative: Played in Cardiff, Wales. Craig Bellamy’s side has never beaten Bosnia in four tries (0-2-2), but the gaffer says he’s spotted “a lot of weaknesses” in the Bosnian defense.
Market
Wales
Draw
Bosnia
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
-118
+240
+350
To Advance
-250
—
+175
All odds were taken from bet365 at 3:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, the 24th.
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The Narrative: Neutral ground in Valencia, Spain. Sweden is shorthanded without stars Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski. They’ll lean heavily on Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres to carry the offense.
Market
Ukraine
Draw
Sweden
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
+180
+225
+155
To Advance
+100
—
-134
Poland vs. Albania
The Narrative: These two are becoming rivals after meeting in several recent qualifiers. Poland leads the series history with 10 wins in 15 games, but Albania’s manager Sylvinho warns his team is a “different beast” in knockout soccer.
Market
Poland
Draw
Albania
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
-143
+250
+475
To Advance
-334
—
+240
📍 Path C
Türkiye vs. Romania(Early Start)
The Narrative: Tactical masterclass alert. Romania’s 80-year-old manager, Mircea Lucescu, knows Turkish soccer inside out, having coached their national team and biggest clubs (Galatasaray/Beşiktaş).
Market
Türkiye
Draw
Romania
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
-275
+400
+650
To Advance
-600
—
+400
Slovakia vs. Kosovo
The Narrative: First official meeting between these two. Kosovo is on a five-game unbeaten streak and dreaming of their first-ever major tournament appearance.
Market
Slovakia
Draw
Kosovo
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
+110
+225
+270
To Advance
-188
—
+137
📍 Path D
Denmark vs. North Macedonia
The Narrative: Denmark is seeking redemption after a messy end to the group stage. They face a North Macedonia team with a brand-new manager, former defender Goce Sedloski.
Market
Denmark
Draw
N. Macedonia
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
-334
+425
+1000
To Advance
-800
—
+500
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland
The Narrative: Czechia is tough at home (3 straight wins vs. the Irish). However, Ireland is riding high after recently beating Portugal. Heimir Hallgrímsson has told his squad “the future of Irish soccer is in your hands.”
Market
Czechia
Draw
Rep. Ireland
3-Way Moneyline (90′)
+100
+240
+280
To Advance
-200
—
+150
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Author:
Lucas Portela
Owner, BoldGambler • Avanhandava/SP
Oddsmaker, affiliate and content creator in the iGaming industry.
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