With the 2026 FIFA World Cup right around the corner—co-hosted here in the United States, Mexico, and Canada—the final spots for the European nations are being decided this week.
On Thursday, March 26, 16 teams face off in single-elimination semifinals. Win two in a row, and they’re booked for North America this summer.
Format: Single-leg knockout. If tied after 90 minutes, it goes to extra time and then a penalty shootout.
TV/Kick-off Times: * Main Slate: 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT
- Early Game (Türkiye vs. Romania): 1:00 PM ET / 10:00 AM PT
📍 Path A
Italy vs. Northern Ireland
- The Narrative: Italy is desperate. After missing two straight World Cups, the pressure on manager Gennaro Gattuso and his squad is “suffocating.” Meanwhile, Northern Ireland’s Michael O’Neill is playing the “nothing to lose” card.
- Stat to Know: Italy hasn’t conceded a goal to Northern Ireland in seven straight meetings (dating back to 1961).
| Market | Italy | Draw | N. Ireland |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | -350 | +450 | +1000 |
| To Advance | -800 | — | +500 |
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
- The Narrative: Played in Cardiff, Wales. Craig Bellamy’s side has never beaten Bosnia in four tries (0-2-2), but the gaffer says he’s spotted “a lot of weaknesses” in the Bosnian defense.
| Market | Wales | Draw | Bosnia |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | -118 | +240 | +350 |
| To Advance | -250 | — | +175 |
All odds were taken from bet365 at 3:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, the 24th.
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📍 Path B
Ukraine vs. Sweden
- The Narrative: Neutral ground in Valencia, Spain. Sweden is shorthanded without stars Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski. They’ll lean heavily on Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres to carry the offense.
| Market | Ukraine | Draw | Sweden |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | +180 | +225 | +155 |
| To Advance | +100 | — | -134 |
Poland vs. Albania
- The Narrative: These two are becoming rivals after meeting in several recent qualifiers. Poland leads the series history with 10 wins in 15 games, but Albania’s manager Sylvinho warns his team is a “different beast” in knockout soccer.
| Market | Poland | Draw | Albania |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | -143 | +250 | +475 |
| To Advance | -334 | — | +240 |
📍 Path C
Türkiye vs. Romania (Early Start)
- The Narrative: Tactical masterclass alert. Romania’s 80-year-old manager, Mircea Lucescu, knows Turkish soccer inside out, having coached their national team and biggest clubs (Galatasaray/Beşiktaş).
| Market | Türkiye | Draw | Romania |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | -275 | +400 | +650 |
| To Advance | -600 | — | +400 |
Slovakia vs. Kosovo
- The Narrative: First official meeting between these two. Kosovo is on a five-game unbeaten streak and dreaming of their first-ever major tournament appearance.
| Market | Slovakia | Draw | Kosovo |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | +110 | +225 | +270 |
| To Advance | -188 | — | +137 |
📍 Path D
Denmark vs. North Macedonia
- The Narrative: Denmark is seeking redemption after a messy end to the group stage. They face a North Macedonia team with a brand-new manager, former defender Goce Sedloski.
| Market | Denmark | Draw | N. Macedonia |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | -334 | +425 | +1000 |
| To Advance | -800 | — | +500 |
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland
- The Narrative: Czechia is tough at home (3 straight wins vs. the Irish). However, Ireland is riding high after recently beating Portugal. Heimir Hallgrímsson has told his squad “the future of Irish soccer is in your hands.”
| Market | Czechia | Draw | Rep. Ireland |
| 3-Way Moneyline (90′) | +100 | +240 | +280 |
| To Advance | -200 | — | +150 |
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Author:
Lucas Portela
Owner, BoldGambler • Avanhandava/SP
Oddsmaker, affiliate and content creator in the iGaming industry.
